Could mysterious Manhattan-sized comet be a ‘black swan event’?: ‘The implications are so huge for humanity’From the headline of this article at The New York Post.
上記の文で、black swan eventの意味は？
In the sentence above, what does "black swan event" mean?
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解答
意味：英辞郎によると、
ブラックスワン・イベント◆めったに起こらないことだが、実際に起こると壊滅的被害をもたらす出来事◆【略】BSE
Answer
According to Britannica:black swan event, high-impact event that is difficult to predict under normal circumstances but that in retrospect appears to have been inevitable. A black swan event is unexpected and therefore difficult to prepare for but is often rationalized with the benefit of hindsight as having been unavoidable.
Examples
- Notable examples of black swan events include the 2008 financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the dotcom bubble burst.
- Black swan events challenge traditional assumptions and models, prompting investors to consider unlikely yet impactful risks.
- In finance, a black swan event carries a negative connotation because the term refers to a rare, unpredictable, and random event that poses significant downside risk in terms of the economic impact and stock market.
- For example, some sources say the COVID-19 pandemic is a black swan event; others do not. They argue that the world had known about such a pandemic for decades, so preparations could have been made.
- They are called “black swan events” for a reason, and tactics used to prepare for other setbacks don’t apply here.
